Gecko Global Analytics

van Gecko 14:34 GMT December 28, 2001
PAR 14:17.. if we see 1.002 in 2002 will you change your name to PARity ??



van Gecko 13:07 GMT November 23, 2001
morning world.. hello friends;
in keeping with the spirit of the Thanksgiving holidays, here it is..
for my long marching (positional) trend playing friends;
a 98% $/JPY winning bet, with a minimium 2:1 initial risk/reward
Buy $/JPY on dips to, & infront of 123.50, 123.00, & 122.50 ..
with an initial target up @ 125.00/75.. & ADD on break above 127.00
Buy & Hold, risk an initial DAILY close below 121.50
;
risk/reward disclaimer;
any of my trading recommendations here are intended for external demonstration only..
There is great risks (& rewards) in Fx trading ..
only trade with surplus funds (& convictions), do not trade if you can't afford to lose..
;
good luck & Cheerios for all..;)

(btw, those residual euro pipBID/pip-marching/pope escorting plays for 8888/8918 from last week still looking good from here..)


van Gecko 18:17 GMT November 9, 2001
Euro long weekend thoughts for long/short marchers...
as mentioned, the market is looking for a directional resolution here at the Triple Apexes of the Converging long, short, & mini term wedges..
well, over this last 2 weeks, it had 2 great chances to break to the upside, but fail miserably in both occassions (11/1th & 11/7th)..
now it's back down here again, hoovering again near this major 8900/8888 Flatline..
when something tries to go up but can't... what does the market tell us ?
remember, this simple market "trueism";
"embedded flatlines (support/resist levels) always gets taken out in the direction of the prevailing trend , 10 out of 10 times.. "
have a nice long weekend friends ..



van Gecko 13:37 GMT November 9, 2001
hello world.. morning friends;
** $/Cad Reversal Alert **
it's now 98% odds that this recent Goose buying frenzy could had come to a squeeching halt here..
finally, it looks like some BIG bad Gooser had enough, & is now ready to cash in all those $bull meats ..
below 16000, 'End of the line" warning for $/Goose bulls
below 15950, 2nd notice for those remaining 'die hard' bulls
below 15900, great odds for bulls tripping over each other in their rush to jump off the $/Goose Bull wagon..
have a nice flight..
Cheerios..

van Gecko 16:05 GMT November 8, 2001
Khai..
$/Cad, we might had seen the recent Goose buying frenzy came to a climatic halt at yesterday blow off Historic top..
there may be a few 'die hard' Goose bulls left, but odds are that good gravitational pull is now being exerted on the tired looking Goose..
one way street FX betting without some considerations for zig & zags are rarely seen in recent years snoozy market dynamics ..
;
$/Yen.. may be near, or had seen the 'pearl bottom' today down at the 120.50's,
if not, allow for a few more pips down to the 120.30's from here before the bears get ambushed by the sumo bulls for the return journey up to the 122/23's again ..
gl

van Gecko 14:39 GMT November 8, 2001
$/Cad..

how come so much hindsight Goose talk again ?

ask most Fx Gods of the past & present, & most will tell you that having trade conviction is good, but having absolute blind convictions coupled with phrases such as should do this.. should not do that.." is a sure bet journey to join the immortal ranks of Fx Gods of the past ..

van Gecko 12:55 GMT November 8, 2001
hello world.. morning friends;
;
Euro'vision...
market close to a break point, now at/near the Triple Apexes of Converging long, short, & mini term wedges, looking for a resolution ..
Downside;
bears exerting week long pressures to take out the 8930 mini flatline, breach of which could see an extension down to the 8868, 8820.. 8750's..
Upside;
bear & bull stop cities above the s/t term 9130/50 ceiling.. above, open up the clear blue skies to the 92/9300's again & then 1.002 ? ..
;
Lopsided weighted pipBID betting tactics with a bias Down to earth could work for both pip-pickers & pip-marchers ..
;
Cheerios..

van Gecko 13:02 GMT November 5, 2001
morning world.. hello friends..
the "Great Halloween Pumpkin Dollar/Equity Recovery" now gathering stream to start this 1st week in November...
European Currencies tanking across the board, now very good odds for last week's aberrated Tops to be the November Highs...
mini term;
SOB on every Blip could paid well, BOD bottom pickers beware..
extreme contrarian short marchers from last week now rejoicing in dough$$ !
;)
Cheerios...

van Gecko 13:13 GMT November 2, 2001
morning world.. hello friends..
it's now 1st Friday in November..
us equities firming across the board after last week's anthrax induced dips..
usdx 114.00 a line in the sand...
so, what's the FX bookie odds for a sustained "Halloween Pumpkin Dollar/Equity Recovery" into next week ?
Cheerios...

van Gecko 13:16 GMT October 31, 2001
morning world, & friends;
European currencies...
there's inherent internal weakness despite the big Blips enjoyed by her Highness & the euro-twins this week..
with yesterday's lows essentially intact, they had everything going to Blip higher & deliver that "knock-out" blow to the dollar, but had squandered all the opportunties so far ..
take care friends..


van Gecko 16:56 GMT August 8, 2001
Big Tech picture outlook for the Euro-twins...
fact,
Swissy tested daily 21 ma, & had seen & retreated from the SOB'ers eyes. .
fact,
Swissy 21 ma crossed 200 ma back in the beginning of the month & now diverging nicely..
fact,
deep pocket trend player's in house tech analysts are now screaming;
" boss, SELL! SELL! it's now trendy to be an Swissy SOB Boss.." to their bosses..
all facts are factual
& obvious on the charts..
no need to understand what a 'fratal' or use 'head & shoulder' shampoos..
;)

van Gecko 15:27 GMT August 1, 2001
morning world...
Air Canada$ Dive to 6300 update...
7 days of lackluster flying by the Goose just about got wiped out over-nite!... ;)
long marching $bulls who had been patient & selectively picked the Goose's tails from the 15300 skies earlier now have reasons to smile again.. ^_^
if you had blinked & bailed-out along the way, could reload/add to positions on dips from here,
Buy on Dips from 15320 down to 15290, & add on breach above 15400 from here ..
Cheerios &
have a nice flight.. ;)


van Gecko 19:38 GMT July 31, 2001
"$/Swiss @ 1.59's by October ? "
folks, is history on the verge of repeating again ?
everything now lining up for the move to the 15900 skies;
seasonal mid summer's dream to fall rallies..
equalities & similiarities to the 2200 pip march from 11/00 to 01/01..
pattern repetitions..
triple mamama & all teck confluences..
you name it..
just about everything except for the kitchen sink is in place..
hehe..
long marching e_utopians rejoice !

van Gecko 13:02 GMT July 24, 2001
morning world..
more Cad$ bluffs....
Good bye Air Can$ 6700, Hello dive to 6300,,,

imo air Canada$ flight 6700 is now a distance pipe dream...
and all remaining die-hard deep-pocket long distance passengers should be/or had bail-out to save their FX'ing souls (& definitely, their poor(er) wallets !!)

looking back in hind-sight, i was 'tricked' by by the Goose for my recent bullishness...
looking forward with 'fore-sight', the Goose's recent aborted ascend to 6700 re-affirms my long term Can$ bearish views (an unpleasant multi-year reality for my (& all Northlanders) depreciating fixed assests) ...

that said, the weekly & daily big pictures are painting a very bleak scenario for the Loonie's short & medium term fate..
imo, Cad$ is now poised for another visit to the dark 6300's skies, & even with fairly good odds to the black 6200 abyss on this leg....

s/t tactic is now SOB, Sell on Blips to 6500 & at every 10 bps intervals, right up to the 6530's if seen ..
aggressive SOB'ers can sell in front of lucky 6488 & add SOS, Sell on Stop below 6450..
targets;
taking out 6450, clears the skies for 6430/25,
below 6425, open the grey skies for 6380/50,
retest of the 6318 historic lows on this leg sees very good odds for a quick dive to new historic lows!
all the way down.. down to the 6200's !!
gl,
& have a nice flight...

(sorry for the right-side up IMM numbers, indigenous upside down FX flyers could track down the daily swaps & convert them into their funny reciprocals if interested in my bluffs..
^_^ )

van Gecko 23:40 GMT July 15, 2001
hello world..
a very turbulent week for all Air Canada$ flight 6700 passengers (or whatever that's left on board.. haha...), lots of air sickness bags sighted & used up!!
as of last Friday, looks like most of the prudent passengers had parachuted & only the vely deep pocket long distance flyers remain..
looking ahead, one must admit that the s/t odds are now re-biased for the sickly Loonie to resume it's long term yearly slow plunge into that frozen Canadian arctic abyss ..

that said,
critical directional week coming up..
if the high flying Goose can stay above the 15290 (below 6530) skies this week, the odds are it's good bye (* not good buy *) flight 6700 & hello 6300..
below 15290, pressures 15230 (6550) again, below 15230, may be the $bears could look back in hindsight & say last week's turbulences was an aberration...
however, we can't trade with hindsight,
& right now, odds are we'll see some pullback to 15290/50 before another assult at breaching last week's 15400 for the grey 15500 skies...

mini term flight plan for early this week..
light SOB (Sell On Blips) infront of 15380 & 15400, for 15290 & 15250,
stop & reverse above 15410 for 15500 & 15550..
go flat, & stay fat at either end, & re-assess flight plan,
stay tuned, Cheerios...
& have a nice flight..
^_^