Gecko Global Analytics

Gaining an Edge over the Forex game of Mind, Money, & Wealth

Friday, September 29, 2006

van Gecko 15:31 GMT September 29, 2006
jkt-aye.. GBP 1.86 Euroo 1.26 & Usd/Chf 1.26 are still the round figure near term intermediate attractors for the market in my book.. good SOB reload opportunities here..

van Gecko 13:57 GMT September 29, 2006
the Dollar now above 86.. highest monthly close in 6 months..
looks like October setting up to be a good month for Dollar SOSB'ers (Sell$_On_Substantial_Blips)..

van Gecko 09:16 GMT September 29, 2006
Perrie.. nice to see you back singing again..
why would you want to get off the Cable train here? the eccentric old fella could print the figure to end the month in a merry mode.. :)

gbp @ 1.8690

Como Perrie 09:09 GMT September 29, 2006
Next down swing if completed getting rid of more cable shorts.

van Gecko 07:28 GMT September 29, 2006
Oil man 06:23.. :)
expect the Dollar to come alive in October & the rest of Q4 as Gold is destined to close at 6 month low & Usd/Jpy closing above 5 month high..
Usd/Jpy Singapore Sling Update

looks like the euroo is not wasting any time trying to catch up to her majesty on their "Merry Go South" mid-term journey..
FwIwW..

usd/jpy @ 118.08 euroo @1.2668 gbp @ 1.8688

Cannes Oil man 06:30 GMT September 29, 2006
Well $Y is at 118..What last week at 116.00 people were calling arrogance when i said it's a great long , is now a reality..$Y is breaking top side 118.27.

Cannes Oil man 06:23 GMT September 29, 2006
Ab, not sure why u re looking for upside in gold..
Gold has been driven to 700 by specs from 400, same applies to oil prices over 43.
So now everytime it jumps up a bit, you will find massive unloading by said specs who used max leverage and are getting killed , while prices are being driven down inexorably, dinging margin calls , trying to save part of their capital...Most won't even survive, what they saw as a never ending move to the upside and because of said leverage their margin is flying into the skies.

hk ab 05:44 GMT September 29, 2006
fwiw, gold listens to me better but someone sitting above 603.5.
gold 600 kicked in, now long at 575, 585, 600.

Thursday, September 28, 2006

van Gecko 13:56 GMT September 28, 2006
jkt-aye 13:33.. the show may switch over to cousin euro now with her majesty completing her latest daily Olympic dive.. SOB'ers are stacked across 1.88 should bottom picking pikers get their 40 pips from here..
looks like the recent free ride from the crosses are over for the Europeans as the Dollar is showing strength for the Q4 home stretch..
Cheerios..

jkt-aye 13:33 GMT September 28, 2006
Gecko 12:45 ... cheers
is SAM ... SOS ... still apply from this level ? me think better use SOB atm. Good trades.

van Gecko 12:45 GMT September 28, 2006
her majesty just can't get any satisfaction doing that threesome Jive dance with eruoo & their mutual guide dog..
let the Dollar FoxTrot party begin..
FxWorksInWackyWays

van Gecko 09:51 GMT September 27, 2006
euroo.. gbp.. & euroo/gbp three some Jive dancing in full swing.. could turn out to be a Dollar Foxtrot party once the Geisha slings her way above 117.50..

van Gecko 09:03 GMT September 27, 2006
pope "Benelux" (08:01) is here should anyone's heart give out trading this intraday noises..

USA Zeus 08:52 GMT September 27, 2006
Got a little exciting there. Heart rate ticked up a notch for the first time in a while. I think it had to do more with position size than market action. However the two in combo probably added fuel to the fire.

Benelux Pips for living 08:01 GMT September 27, 2006
- blocking some pips here

Tuesday, September 26, 2006

jkt-aye 17:17 GMT September 26, 2006
Gecko 15:37...many thanks.

van Gecko 15:37 GMT September 26, 2006
jkt-aye.. SOB.. SAM.. SOS

Cannes Oil man 15:20 GMT September 26, 2006
Hey Gecko grats on the low 1.2666 private msg !You becoming the bottom daily finder :)
Gl8's.

jkt-aye 15:19 GMT September 26, 2006
Hi Gecko, any news for Her Majesty next move ? TIA

van Gecko 15:13 GMT September 26, 2006

"15:09 GMT September 1, 2006
.. Eur/Gbp closing for the 5th straight week below the 6 year support channel.. the next major support is at .6680.. below .6680, the multi-year triangle may be resolved with a nice 10 figure trend down to the 1999 lows again.."

more fun times just around the corner for the Europeans..

Thursday, September 21, 2006

van Gecko 14:05 GMT September 21, 2006
contrary to popular preceptions, the euro bull is fighting a serious health problem here.. the only possible fix is an 8 to 10 figure correction as real money m/t bulls will not touch it up here.. smart money rarely make a habit of loading the boat with mid-term cargos near a 5 year high & expect to unload them higher at a profit as the risk of being inflicted with that dreaded Fx PorkChopTitist disease is too great.. the same scenario applies for the yellow metal..

Wednesday, September 20, 2006

"05:02 GMT July 21, 2006
Another 100 dollar weekly reversal in the works for the yellow metal.. looking very tarnished below 625..
weeklies below 600 on this leg re-target 570/60 & the big 500 psycho I level..
below is another 100 bucks down to the 400 psycho II.."

lots of BOOB'ers (BailOutOnBlips) waiting for blips to liquidate as weeklies below 570 could turn into a vely nice waterfall..

Sunday, September 17, 2006

Haifa ac 07:16 GMT September 17, 2006
moscow mike 19:03 GMT September 16, 2006
fwiw... 8-year resistance 3-point trend line on $yen comes at 118.40 this month....
//Yes.

But Gecko thinks this line will be raptured easily.

moscow mike 19:03 GMT September 16, 2006
fwiw... 8-year resistance 3-point trend line on $yen comes at 118.40 this month....

Friday, September 15, 2006

van Gecko 10:11 GMT September 15, 2006
Euroo @1,2688 is only 40 pips away from mid term bliss..

van Gecko 08:18 GMT September 15, 2006
"11:56 GMT September 14, 2006
GBP temporary lifted via the crossess giving m/t players good levels to reload for another go at 1.86 & those mid-term "black hole" targets below 1.85.."

adios old fella.. have a Merry Go South trip..

Thursday, September 14, 2006

Cannes Oil man 15:26 GMT September 14, 2006
I have to say , I m a bit skeptic about this bearish usd move.
GBP$ did move and break above the bearish resistances, however €$ the superweight hasnt moved much...And until it does it's just a very thin gbp$ stop run.
It's easy to move the gbp$ , but €$ , is another matter.
Thinned a few euro$ with some meagre pips here.

van Gecko 13:15 GMT September 14, 2006
interesting inter-market flow here between euroo.. gbp.. & eur/gbp.. looks like the masters are being teased & may be mis-leaded by their guide dog..

van Gecko 11:56 GMT September 14, 2006
GBP temporary lifted via the crossess giving m/t players good levels to reload for another go at 1.86 & those mid-term "black hole" targets below 1.85.. cousin euroo is languishing below the 1.2750-70 SOB zone.. specs positions are still at near record long & increasing..
FwIwW..

gbp @ 1.8870 euro @ 1.2730

moscow mike 08:16 GMT September 14, 2006
thanks for your insight Gecko. I like 1.7777

van Gecko 08:09 GMT September 14, 2006

moscow mike 07:44.. as much as I like to see your "500 pips day slide", think you need a bit of patiences there :))
that said, with the yellow metal re-targeting 550 again near term, weeklies below 1.85 would increase the betting odds for another excellent mid term pay day for her majesty's loyal short marching soldiers.. so 1.82 ~ 1.78 may be a good m/t black hole target..
Cheerios..

moscow mike 07:44 GMT September 14, 2006
van Gecko 07:36
"Black thursday in the works..." was read by me as black hole sucker somewhere on the south :))

van Gecko 07:36 GMT September 14, 2006
moscow mike 07:19.. didn't know my 07:09 GMT was encrypted with a 500 pip day 'Slideski' to you..:)

moscow mike 07:19 GMT September 14, 2006
van Gecko 07:09
Would be great no matter of direction, because where volatility - there we! LOL
But i am not as confident as you to see some 500 pip slide today.

van Gecko 07:09 GMT September 14, 2006
looks like a black Thursday in the works for GBP/USD & cousins..

Spotforex NY 06:58 GMT September 14, 2006
1929 US equity crash was known as 'black Monday'.....not aware of any black thursdays in the equity markets.....

London 00 06:44 GMT September 14, 2006
Southport 06:21 GMT September 14, 2006
The Black Thursday of 1929!
What I know is that my very respectful broker uses this reference.

Southport 06:21 GMT September 14, 2006
London 00 06:05 GMT September 14, 2006
Southport 05:57 GMT September 14, 2006
1.By convention, the weekly bar starts on thursday 00.00 GMT

First time I hear of this. What is the logic ???
I have not seen any data suppliers/softwares adhering to this convention...........

Friday, September 08, 2006

FOREX-Dollar leaps to 6-week highs in technical rally

NEW YORK, Sept 8 (Reuters) - The dollar was set for its biggest weekly gain in two months against a basket of six major currencies.
The breach of key levels in the euro and sterling sparked a paring of bloated long positions, or bets that both currencies would rise. That added momentum to the dollar's gains.

The euro was last down 0.5 percent on the day and down 1.3 percent on the week at $1.2665, after triggering large stop-loss orders below $1.2690 and touching a six-week low of $1.2651.

Sterling slipped 0.6 percent to $1.8650, after earlier plumbing six-week lows of $1.8628. Against the Swiss franc, the dollar was up 0.4 percent at 1.2472 francs. The dollar index is up 1.25 percent on the week.

The dollar stood at 116.90 yen, up 0.4 percent on the day.

Cannes Oil man 15:17 GMT September 8, 2006
Excellent to see the $Yen and $CAD fly in unisson!

van Gecko 14:13 GMT September 8, 2006
viies 13:28.. Gold reversing 40 bucks to start Q4 after another failure to crack the decending channel from the May peak may inject some life into Euro & cousins from here into year end.. that eccentric old fella Cable seems to be the front man here..

Tallinn viies 13:28 GMT September 8, 2006
van Gecko 12:56 GMT - monthly high 1,2874. to widen monthly trading range to normal range it gives me 1,2240 as a downside target.
right now with such technical picture I cant see how euro could widen normal monthly range from other side over 1,2874....
just my humble thought

van Gecko 12:56 GMT September 8, 2006
"07:09 GMT September 6, 2006

once again, market participants are filled with expectations as Q4 rolls around.. so will Euro break 1.30 this time around or disappoint the majority again & repeat the the "Great September Slide of '05" ?
"
200 pips down.. another 3 weeks & 400 pips to equal last September's Slide..

euro @1.2670

van Gecko 08:11 GMT September 8, 2006
Buenos Aires.. 1.2770-50 is my intraday SOB zone for momentum Dollar bulls to keep the bears in line..;)

Buenos Aires 07:46 GMT September 8, 2006
van Gecko 07:30
so a "perfect" short entry could be near 1.2750??? TIA

Hong Kong Qindex 07:42 GMT September 8, 2006
EUR/USD : My system indicates that the odds are good that the market will trade below 1.2700.

Miami OMIL (/:-> 07:33 GMT September 8, 2006
van Gecko 07:30 GMT September 8, 2006
Look out below LOL. I hope you are well. GT

van Gecko 07:30 GMT September 8, 2006
way of the euroo --> 1.2750 ~ **1.2650 ** -> 1.2638
too much stops below 1.27 to turn back now.. :))

"08:39 GMT August 25, 2006

the 'Future'
good size s/t stops below 1.27 along with m/t bull stops stacked below 1.26~1.24..
breaking below the s/t 1.26 target expose the m/t channel support with potential fast break down to ~1.24~
m/t targets below 1.24 -> 1.1850 <-> 1.1550 ~ 1.13"

Cannes Oil man 06:58 GMT September 8, 2006
Miami OMIL (/:->
I'll probly buy long €'s before NY open and news events,

Miami OMIL (/:-> 06:53 GMT September 8, 2006
Sorry continuing with what I was saying it is obvious that the eur/usd pair will bounce the question is will it take out the main resistance or will the bears take control of the show and give us a deeper correction? GT

Miami OMIL (/:-> 06:49 GMT September 8, 2006
Oil Man I concur with your signals. I am really hoping for a deeper correction on the majors or some sort of move that will shake this summer range away. I am still bearish on the $ and it is nothing personal against it is just the price range that has decided this so far. Now it is obvious that the eur/usd pair will bounce sooner or later

Cannes Oil man 06:14 GMT September 8, 2006
Unless the USD makes a decisive break , the chance for a move back against it to the high of the band is increasing as US$ bears prepare themselves and wait for a news reaction to eat the fresh stops..(Plenty of them on €$ to the upside up to 1.2870 today).
Must break definitely break 1.2690-1.2630..

Thursday, September 07, 2006

van Gecko 13:24 GMT September 7, 2006
it had been a while since $Goose & $Geisha fly united.. a beautiful sight indeed..

van Gecko 12:22 GMT September 7, 2006
Mla Evan.. after diving for the past three years, imo the risk vs potential rewards are inversely stacked for both DollarCanada camps as it grind towards the 1.10/09 band..
don't know about the Canadian goverment's dollar preference.. but my Fx "government" prefers strong dollar movement.. up or down..:)

Mla Evan 12:13 GMT September 7, 2006
Gecko, How abt usd/cad?
does your goverment prefers a strong canadian dollar?

van Gecko 12:06 GMT September 7, 2006
Mla Evan 11:27.. well, celestial induced 'Fx rage' certainly helps.. :)
another window of opportunity here for long marching DollarYen m/t players who missed reloading the Singapore 'Sling' sub 116 yesterday..
FwIwW

Mla Evan 11:27 GMT September 7, 2006
van Gecko 03:01 GMT September 7, 2006
Gecko, bet your happy now, hope there is more to come.

van Gecko 03:01 GMT September 7, 2006
Oil man.. sleepless in Cannes? indeed, more rejoicing & less worry is good for the soul..:)
good inter-market setup to break this mult-month doldrum & take the dollar up to the next m/t level..

Wednesday, September 06, 2006

Syd 07:36 GMT September 6, 2006
USD/JPY's corrective down-leg proved short-lived and risk now is for another run toward the inter-month trendline top at 117.45, says Royal Bank of Scotland. At 116.23 the bank says support between 116.10 and 115.90 should contain any intra-day weakness with a break above the 116.45-85 resistance zone looked for

van Gecko 07:09 GMT September 6, 2006
Usd/Jpy reloading the "Sling" for another shot at the mid-term 127 Singapore Sling target.. may be the last reload prior to taking out 117.50 as bulls seems to be quite contend with successive higher weekly reloads since the 110 May trough.. micro time frame turns had propagated up to the 1/2 session charts.. good intraday support infront of 116, hourly & quarter session closes above 116.60 re-targets 117..

once again, market participants are filled with expectations as Q4 rolls around.. so will Euro break 1.30 this time around or disappoint the majority again & repeat the the "Great September Slide of '05" ?
a few snippets from last September's memory lane..
"16:23 GMT August 31, 2005
Who cleared Eur/$ for takeoff?

15:41 GMT September 8, 2005
I am turning very bearish in dollar for the last Q.

16:32 GMT September 8, 2005
Good luck..the 1,35++ is the tgt...

18:48 GMT August 31, 2005
contrary to popular views, commodities are painting a cloudy Q4 picture for m/t dollar bears.. expect 1.26/1.18 euro/usd to tease & waste bulls & bears for a few more months prior to the next m/t leg down to the 1.15/13.. Parity/.98 zones.."

Cheerios..

Friday, September 01, 2006

van Gecko 15:09 GMT September 1, 2006
Oil Man.. Eur/Gbp closing for the 5th straight week below the 6 year support channel.. the next major support is at .6680.. below .6680, the multi-year triangle may be resolved with a nice 10 figure trend down to the 1999 lows again..
be nice to to your "uncle Ben".. :) have a nice w/e..

UAE Oil man 14:20 GMT September 1, 2006
Gecko, if the €£ "broke" down, how come i didnt get my 6723 long yet?:)

van Gecko 13:18 GMT September 1, 2006
"13:44 GMT July 31, 2006
.. Eur/Gbp weeklies below .6780 on this leg could resolve its L/T triangle & finally lead Euro & cousins down south to their M/T promisland.."

Eur/Gbp m/t support taken out.. now Eur/Jpy playing catch down..
things are looking up for Euro & cousin's merry go south m/t journey..
Cheerios..

Trading is not an exact science contrary to the popular belief of most new or inexperience traders.. In trading, we must allow for some margin of errors within our defined risk & trading time frame.. allowing for this margin of error under the constraint of trading in micro time frames with stops & profit targets all inside a small fluctuating market noise band in hope of achieving consistent profits over time is very difficult, if not impossible.. as whenever we are right, we are only small right within the confine of the small P/L band which limit our odds to playing for break even at best over time.. Trading longer time frames allows for a wider margin of error but at the expenses of increased risk.. however, the odds of being right & achieving consistent profits over time are enhanced when good market analytic & trade management strategies are applied under the proper market bias.. When we are right, we need to ensure that we are bigger right over an expanded profit band in-order to compensate for those times when we are wrong..