Gecko Global Analytics

Gaining an Edge over the Forex game of Mind, Money, & Wealth

Friday, March 31, 2006

Helsinki iw 12:50 GMT March 31, 2006
Too right, Gecko

van Gecko 12:07 GMT March 31, 2006
iw 11:13.. morning, don't know..
imo it doesn't matter if one is a bull or bear in this biz, what really matter is to avoid being a 'sacrifical pig' to the market.. no?

Helsinki iw 11:13 GMT March 31, 2006
Gecko, you reckon there are more euro bulls than bears out there?

van Gecko 11:02 GMT March 31, 2006
Look for more Quarter & month end European panic liquidation once the North America M/T bulls had their morning coffee & realize that after yesterday's impulsive spike, not only had the euro once again failed to sustain last months high but also give up almost a figure of their profits to the London boys over-night.. fwiww..

Auckland trotter 10:35 GMT March 31, 2006
Does anyone see the EUR/USD having bottomed at around 1.1281 - a level on the 1hr 20day chart?

Mumbai NS 10:27 GMT March 31, 2006
Van Gecko for ur short term piker see u at 1.2260 and btw jargon language sounds good gud luck

van Gecko 10:18 GMT March 31, 2006
"10:08 GMT March 24, 2006
Usd/Chf.. lotsa 'BS' going on recently as long marching $/Swissy National Soldiers (Buy & Snoozers) setting sights for the 1.38/1.42 Alps in Q2..
vely good odds for the little Dollar to level-shift up to the next 1000 pip Quarterly zone here with back to back Quarterly tests of the 1.33 line.."

Mumbai NS 09:41.. ;) vely good.. thats where the money is in FX.. btw, does the above 'BS' look like a short term piker view to you?

lech overcast 09:35.. thanks, any mid term targets to share with us ?

Mumbai NS 09:41 GMT March 31, 2006
van Gecko no offences mate but if u r a longer term player start accumulating euros close to figure lvls chances of making good money r bright on the longer term but if u wanna do short term trades ur pic style imaginative style may satisfy ur needs but not mine i trade longer horizon. lol

lech overcast 09:35 GMT March 31, 2006
van Gecko: expect a pullback in stocks, metalls and euro within the next days. march correction is allready overdue.

van Gecko 09:08 GMT March 31, 2006
lech overcast 08:47.. morning.. looks like Eur/Chf is on a month end 'Search & Destroy mission' for more scarifical pigs..:))

Mumbai NS 08:47.. imagination certainly helps in this biz.. but the reality is right infront of us.. Euro below the figure would flush out more closet bulls.. Cheers..

Mumbai NS 08:47 GMT March 31, 2006
van Gecko
Good imagination but..... if wishes were bulls beggars wuld ride
gl/gt

lech overcast 08:47 GMT March 31, 2006
van Gecko: peter i like how you stick to your pigs!

van Gecko 08:37 GMT March 31, 2006
European bulls in mass liquidation with her majesty GBP leading the way.. seems like some Dollar bears don't want to end the month looking like THIS..
Cheerios..

Helsinki iw 14:31 GMT March 30, 2006
Thank you for stopping to shop at the stop-loss shop.
Recent action good sign for USD bears. IMHO

Helsinki iw 11:35 GMT March 30, 2006
Looking for 1,2110/20 to break on this run to confirm the bottom at 1,1950/60. Such a break would target 1,2320/30 and 1,2600+-

Tuesday, March 28, 2006

van Gecko 23:37 GMT March 28, 2006
Euro bulls itching to wave the BYE BYE EUR towel will not have to wait much longer now.. keep an eye on the proxy twin for que.. FWIWW(FxWorksInWhackyWays)

Oxford Headmaster 17:42 GMT March 28, 2006
BR, last time was good lesson for you.
here we wave BYE BYE EUR, come and join.

Lahore FM 14:48 GMT March 28, 2006
Yes,noticeably bullish is the right phrase,a number of things looking right for the dollar on the charts.

New York BR 14:43 GMT March 28, 2006
Lahore FM 14:39 - you've turned noticibly USD bullish - get a signal in your alphabet soup?

Friday, March 24, 2006

van Gecko 16:11 GMT March 24, 2006
Swissy cross 101 basics.. with real money pushing eur/chf above the 28 month high targeting multi-year highs plus gbp/chf well supported above the 2.25/27 zones, the odds are biased for Dollar/Swissy to remain resilient and consolidate in a side to up channel targeting new highs.. on a side note, if one is M/T bullish gbp/chf then you shouldn't be bearish usd/chf.. can't have it both way.. fwiw..

hong kong nt 14:16 GMT March 24, 2006
USD/CHF lower highs + lower lows on daily chart, price fails to go above 1.3200 or y'day's high after DOUBLE better than expected US figure..

van Gecko 13:47 GMT March 24, 2006
oleg 13:15.. good support infront of the weekly bull flag pole pennant @1.3150 & inter-market dynamics for the little Dollar to paint the highest weekly close for the last 28 months.. cheers..

la oleg 13:15 GMT March 24, 2006
van Gecko 10:08 -- usd/chf keeps knocking at the door of this 200wk m.a with nicely proportioned rising lows... feels like it wants to vault through shortly.

van Gecko 10:08 GMT March 24, 2006
Usd/Chf.. lotsa 'BS' going on recently as long marching $/Swissy National Soldiers (Buy & Snoozers) setting sights for the 1.38/1.42 Alps in Q2..
vely good odds for the little Dollar to level-shift up to the next 1000 pip Quarterly zone here with back to back Quarterly tests of the 1.33 line..

van Gecko 08:47 GMT March 24, 2006
GBP ending Q1 hanging on the edge of a precipice..
weeklies below 1.7250 could set the tone for her majesty taking over the lead for the European trio's Merry Go South Slide..
Cheerios..

hong kong nt 08:49 GMT March 17, 2006
GBP/CHF -- outlook is mildly bullish above key support 2.257 and 2.2620/30 is a buy for now...

hong kong nt 15:52 GMT March 3, 2006
i almost joined short term usd bull if usd/chf >1.329..

Monday, March 20, 2006

van Gecko 14:29 GMT March 20, 2006
re. 14:12 GMT.. seems like the guy has a pretty good track record in forecasting a sub 100 dollar/yen.. :)

"22:08 GMT December 9, 2004
David Bloom, a currency strategist in London at HSBC Holdings Plc. ``Everyone is quite sure about the trend -- the dollar is going down and come the new year everybody will be fresh and ready to sell dollars.''
Bloom expects the U.S. currency to fall to $1.40 per euro and 98 yen by the end of next
bloomberg"

Frankfurt Trader 14:12 GMT March 20, 2006
HSBC Analyst David Bloom on Carry Trade Carnage from players running for the exits at the same time
we are most bullish about is a carry trade bust up. We believe this year, players soaked into the Yen carry trade will be forced to run for the exits at the same time and some serious carnage will be done in dollar/yen and the Yen crosses. On March 8th, we published our math of how we get to a sub 100 dollar/yen:
(1)End of easy money policy+ (2)higher rates+(3)yuan moves+(4)carry trade collapse=sub 100 dollar/yen.
We now add an end to the Fed tightening cycle and possible rate cuts in the US by the end of the year

van Gecko 06:07 GMT March 20, 2006
Quacking 'QDN' right on que as usual..

March 20 (Bloomberg) -- Bloomberg survey shows..
Sixty-one percent of the 51 traders, strategists and investors surveyed on March 17 from Sydney to New York advised selling the dollar against the euro.

van Gecko 10:09 GMT March 16, 2006
GBP is not going anywhere soon within the framwork of the present inter-market dynamics.. her majesty is looking like a load of Sterling dung..
Cheerios..

Monday, March 13, 2006

Goes Bob 13:13 GMT March 13, 2006
van Gecko OK ... it will be a pleasure for me to watch during action the USD bull camp that you run (I will not dare to tell you cheer leading, you get VIP treatment!) ... if 1.10 comes before 1.25 then you are the one! ... good luck and best of trades!

van Gecko 12:49 GMT March 13, 2006
Goes Bob 07:34 GMT .. not sure about "traders as source" for anything other then some biased diversional 'BS' (not to be confused with Buy & Snooze).. but then again inorder to have any entertaining value, the BS should have some imagination & originality apart from posting daily chart noise updates.. have a nice one

Goes Bob 07:34 GMT March 13, 2006
Gecko & nt ... good morning! ... LOL ... traders as source for heavy political issue? ... traders as source for chart other than 5mins? ... traders as source about central banks? ..

hong kong nt 07:26 GMT March 13, 2006
How about ...
re. "EUR Reweighting/Diversification talk.."
after shedding 1000 pips from 1.1800, looks like more rumors from impatient euro bulls hoping to prevent it from falling below the 1.0800 level permanently & having to wait another 10 months for a lighter weighted euro down at 0.9800 to do another round of "Reweighting/Diversification".. cheerios

van Gecko 07:19 GMT March 13, 2006
re. "EUR Reweighting/Diversification talk.."
after shedding 1000 pips from 1.2800, looks like more rumors from impatient euro bulls hoping to prevent it from falling below the 1.1800 level permanently & having to wait another 10 months for a lighter weighted euro down at 1.0800 to do another round of "Reweighting/Diversification".. cheerios

Dow Jones flashback; "05:51 GMT May 10, 2005
0550 GMT [Dow Jones] Asian, Russian central banks rumored still shifting their reserves out of USD into EUR, providing support for latter, traders say. These central banks "are said to be buying the euro around 1.2800 (to USD), preventing it from falling below that level permanently""

Thursday, March 02, 2006

van Gecko 14:46 GMT March 2, 2006
la oleg 14:05..good morning, indeed they could be from the same family who tried to gobble another 200 pips from the little Dollar down at 1.13 back in December '04.. an endless supply in this biz..

la oleg 14:05 GMT March 2, 2006
van Gecko 13:49 -- good morning, Gecko. aren't those the little piggies who tried to gobble the goose? :-) good trades.

van Gecko 13:49 GMT March 2, 2006
Before everyone gets all excited with this small Dollar dip heres the seasonal risk for Dollar bears during this Mardi Gras month....fwiw..
Cheerios..

Trading is not an exact science contrary to the popular belief of most new or inexperience traders.. In trading, we must allow for some margin of errors within our defined risk & trading time frame.. allowing for this margin of error under the constraint of trading in micro time frames with stops & profit targets all inside a small fluctuating market noise band in hope of achieving consistent profits over time is very difficult, if not impossible.. as whenever we are right, we are only small right within the confine of the small P/L band which limit our odds to playing for break even at best over time.. Trading longer time frames allows for a wider margin of error but at the expenses of increased risk.. however, the odds of being right & achieving consistent profits over time are enhanced when good market analytic & trade management strategies are applied under the proper market bias.. When we are right, we need to ensure that we are bigger right over an expanded profit band in-order to compensate for those times when we are wrong..