Gecko Global Analytics

van Gecko 20:56 GMT February 27, 2003
LA svc..:) yes, good odds for a higher usd/eur in March..
btw, dow is setting up to finish off February with a bang.. up at the 8000's..

van Gecko 20:39 GMT February 27, 2003
London AL 18:36.. odds are bearly good for GOLD to see your 330/322 levels in March..
with tommorrow being the last trading day in February any close below 355 will paint a blow-off top KO month (Key Outside Reversal month).. should this happen, those market making Asian gold candle chart following bulls could turn into a herd of skeptic bears in March..
an identical February Flop Monthly reversal is happening for her Majesty gbp..
with gold & gbp doing a 180 U turn in February.. can Euro be far behind.. ?


van Gecko 16:15 GMT February 27, 2003
eur/gbp poised to unwind.. .6800 should be history

van Gecko 16:03 GMT February 27, 2003
Helsinki iw Fwiw 'key reversal' confimed for EUR/USD 1/2 session.. a break of 1.0850/1.0730 could see good follow through on this leg..

van Gecko 15:55 GMT February 27, 2003
Kevin.. just caught your post.. nice trades lately.. well done..

van Gecko 15:50 GMT February 27, 2003
2 days before the Blix missile deadline & GOLD tanks 10 big buck.. what's happening to this geo/war risk momentum hypes ?

van Gecko 15:10 GMT February 27, 2003
re spec position/flows.. i am sure BOJ/MOF keep tab & have better sources then you & i..
Florida KRR 15:01.. it takes big bucks to move the market..

van Gecko 14:29 GMT February 27, 2003
ab.. not much interest from those big Goosers to move the Geese up or down here after the recent dive..
with Eur/cad @ m/t support, a side to down euro bias should see $/Cad consolidating near term towards the 15050/00's ..
Cheerios..


van Gecko 18:48 GMT February 26, 2003
Raven.. glad your falling in love.. must be the VA spring fever..

van Gecko 18:39 GMT February 26, 2003
morning maxxim & Lil.. some big bad Gooser bears & bulls are in a 'count dough/lick wound' holding mode after wiping out the 15050/15000 support band..
in the absence of any new geo/econ funnymentals, the market could consolidate within a 15050/14850 range near term with a shifted s/m/t bias for the 145's..
Cheerios..


van Gecko 18:09 GMT February 26, 2003
NC gs 17:36/35.. contrary to popular belief.. there's no democracy in FX.. it's the size of the deal that counts.. that being said, it must be nice to have the ammo power of Billion dollars & Billion people to lock the market in a tight pipless geo/psycho range & inflict that dreaded fx 'pip_chop_titist' disease at will.. pip traders must learn to piggyback onto these fx elephants..

van Gecko 15:44 GMT February 25, 2003
Qindex.. nice to see you.. gold already shedded nearly 70% of its recent gains.. could get vely ugly if the 330 bull line collapse..

van Gecko 15:30 GMT February 25, 2003
morning FW CS.. gbp/jpy & eur/jpy crosses charts are read by usd/jpy traders for directional clues..

van Gecko 15:22 GMT February 25, 2003
morning islander.. yes, & gold is having a hard time infront of 360.. vely strange indeed..
great St.Pete race over the w/e ..;)

van Gecko 15:12 GMT February 25, 2003
Cairo AG.. Gbp/jpy now below the 21 month ma & below my primary weekly support.. with this week being the last week of Feb may not see any significant support from market making bulls until the 183/182.50's..
gl..
Sparky.. not a titist lover..:) it's ''Titlist', a great little white ball to negotiate around those par 5 dog leg fairways..

van Gecko 14:29 GMT February 25, 2003
despite this week's renewed geopolitical funnymentals, Euro is still stuck in its multi-day pipless pip_chop_titist range.. while Gbp & the Jpy trio are banging out the pips aboard their Southern express trains..
Gbp/jpy taking out 188 & now below 185 may be troublesome for the s/m/t bulls & exert additional downside pressure on Gbp/usd's 'February Flop' from 1.65..
morning maxxim.. sorry for no response, loads of sunshine & spring powder up at Whistler.. very nice call for usd/cad & usd/jpy, more pips for you! ^_^
Cheerios..


van Gecko 13:18 GMT February 21, 2003
morning maxxim// Dingle irish//hk ab & friends// sorry for the late reply..
after the recent 8 figure slide, $/Cad now at sitting at the extreme end of the 15050/15000 major multi-year support band.. & the Goose rarely fly up or down in a 8+ figure m/t straight line without doing some kind of substantial retrace flying in between..
good multi-time frame contra risk/rewards here for brave traders across the board (pip pickers, pip swingers, l/t long marchers, m/t range players..etal..)
Cheerios.. & have a nice flight..



van Gecko 01:38 GMT February 20, 2003
London JR 21:11.. $/Cad under mini term pressure from a retracing eur/cad cross.. now dipped below the 50month ma with the July/02 1.5080/30 multi-year major low & double bottom in sight..
good s/t divergences & l/t up trendline intact..
should get good accummulation support sub 1.51 from m/t range & l/t trend players..
gl..


van Gecko 19:50 GMT February 19, 2003
morning maxxim.. perhap the 'euro-commision' are telling pip traders to be on the lookout for pip_chop_tist.. a vely common & much dreaded FX disease ..:)


van Gecko 16:46 GMT February 19, 2003
NYC NY.. imo aud/usd should correct to the .5700's near term before the .6000's..
mini term, with the dollar index stablizing around the major 100 support levels, eur/usd & aud/usd are pip noise dancing up & down to the tune of the declineing eur/aud cross..
a break of the eur/aud 1.80 support from here could send both down below the daily support channels, currently around 1.0660 & .5890..
gl..


van Gecko 14:09 GMT February 19, 2003
GBP/USD
now painting a Monthly reversal of the 2 month December/January Tadpole extension up to the recent 1.6570 high..
a failure of the 1.5900/1.5850 support band could see her Highness going down to test the crucial 1.5600 levels ..
with a tumbling Gold market leading this unfolding 'February Flop' by her majesty & cousins.. and a quick resolution to the Bush/Saddam BS geopolitics, the recent 1.65 high may turn out to be a m/t or yearly peak (markets has a tendancy to form yearly top/bottom near the beginning of the year) ..
classic TA formations & divergences occuring up at the higher time frames are fairy reliable m/t turning point/market bias indicators even though short term geopolitic/funnymental events could temporary skew the immenient market directional bias ..
fwiw.. freebie analytics..
Cheerios


van Gecko 13:19 GMT February 18, 2003
back in Oct/99 gold's fall from the $340 spike top triggered a year long eur/usd 2600 pip fall from 1.09..
this year, gold made another spike top up at $390 with eur/usd at the same 1.09 levels.. could history repeat ?
Cheerios..


van Gecko 19:38 GMT February 15, 2003
"Risk of War.. and Peace.."..
since last spring, euro & gold had risen with high correlations from the .8850 & $280's up to the recent 1.0950 & $390 levels respectively..
historically, the value of gold had risen & a leading indicator during times of war or risk of war..
by its sudden reversal from the recent $390 peak & losing over 36% of its value in a week, is gold foretelling the world that the recent geopolitical risk of war hypes are fading fast ?
Blix's Valentine report to the UN & the resulting increased disarrys among it's key memebers may be a crucial turning point for war & peace..
if Bush & Company was to have a sudden change of strategy & relax its hardline "Saddam or war" ultimatums, then the risk of war would greatly subside & trigger a much anticipated dollar/equity correction market..
should this happen, euro's recent shallow correction from the 1.0950 top could accelerate by a fast catch up to the slumping Gold market with declines down to the 1.01/1.02 levels..
Cheerios & peace on earth..


van Gecko 19:38 GMT February 13, 2003
Malaga boqueron.. nice to see you again..
looking at the recent market noises prints.. some of those worldly euro/gold market movers may had already assigned a vely high contrarian odds for the 'expected' outcome..
if only what we 'expect' in life & the actual outcomes are as most of us 'expected'.. life would be so simple & easy.. no?


van Gecko 19:19 GMT February 13, 2003
Helsinki iw.. imo When the desert dust settles.. & without a bullet being fired.. the whole guilliable world would praise this masterful act that Bush & Company is staging.. and the Greenbuck & US equities would probably mount one of the biggest relief rally since the fall from grace..
Irish.. it's beautiful BC here..


van Gecko 19:09 GMT February 13, 2003
morning Irish..;) hope you're fine & enjoying the beautiful shores of lake Michigan.. vely sad & tense times for the whole world indeed..

van Gecko 18:56 GMT February 13, 2003
Comex Gold following through on last week's long & wicked "weekly Gravestone candle.."
tanked another $20 since Monday.. for a total of $40 from the recent $390 blow-off top..
today it had managed to recoved $5 & euro still can't crack 1.0850.. despite all these 'new' geopolitic funnymentals;
heightened & constant "WAR" talks..
world wide 'code orange' Terrorist alert/arrest/nuke alerts..
one day to the 'Blix'ssful Happy Valentine card' for that desert Fox..
dow under seige & approaching the July lows..
where had all the recent funny geopolitic/momentum euro/gold pushers gone.. ?



van Gecko 18:16 GMT February 13, 2003
YVR maxxim.. we'll be on the lookout for your new airport code.. how about "BGI maxxim" from Barbados ..:)

van Gecko 18:03 GMT February 13, 2003
maxxim.. glad to hear that.. lets do some turns up at Whistlers or whack some balls into the Pacific down at Pebble Beach.. ;)

van Gecko 17:34 GMT February 13, 2003
morning maxxim.. the fx'ing world can start shouting "BS forever !!".. we can thanks the "BS Index" (Bush Saddam) for injecting this much needed voliatility back in to the market..
Cheerios..


van Gecko 16:59 GMT February 13, 2003
"To censored & Back.. a Showdown with Saddam Show.. "
all the world is a stage.. the whole world is watching.. talking & expecting a war..
Bush & company are master playwright/taciticans.. a great way to turn the Greenbuck around & 'save' the economy from the dogs..

van Gecko 18:28 GMT February 11, 2003
maxxim .. bottom fedders.. could have more fun for the pip$ teeing off for only 12 pip$ down at beautiful Pebble beach..

van Gecko 17:29 GMT February 11, 2003
nk.. i prefer Kojac.. that shiny head sticks up like a top heavy FX 's/Head/s' trying to defry gravity..

dat.. cool & sunny.. after being immersed with misty fog for the last few days..

maxxim.. for $cad please scroll back 8888 posts to last night's
04:22 GMT ..

van Gecko 17:02 GMT February 11, 2003
morning los angeles dat 16:49.. :))
morning maxxim.. back from Pebble Beach ? euro looks like it did a 4hr triple Tee-off from the 1.0670's..

van Gecko 15:24 GMT February 11, 2003
eur/usd bulls may have reasons to smile as the dollar is getting double crossed by the twin eur/gbp & eur/jpy bulls here..

van Gecko 14:01 GMT February 11, 2003
CAIRO AG.. this market could struck in a tight pipless range while we await more funny geopolitic developments.. however, i wouldn't be surprise to see the dollar jump 2 figure up or down from here since we are dealing with a very nervous market..
gl..

van Gecko 13:37 GMT February 11, 2003
beijing.. neverous bulls taking profit..

van Gecko 13:28 GMT February 11, 2003
Hong Kong nt 05:19.. sorry for the late reply, you posted just after i zzz... GBP/JPY 198 if seen could imply that the recent correction is done & the market may be starting another mini-trend up to the 200's.. positional selling of USD/JPY @ the 123/125 resist band if seen may be ok with agreeable underlying dynamics as the market approach those levels..
Cheerios..

van Gecko 04:22 GMT February 11, 2003
ab.. good support infront of 1.5250 for 1.5350.. flying above 1.5450 could see the great Geese flock migrating a 'thousand mile' back to the 1.59/1.60 multi-month range top..
good nite..

van Gecko 04:08 GMT February 11, 2003
morning Kevin.. EUR/JPY trying to make a turn.. however it must 1st over come the exhuberances of all those 'I don't want to miss a 135 moon-shot' BOD bulls stacking the confluencing 4 & 8 hr 21ma line around 129.80's..

van Gecko 03:22 GMT February 11, 2003
maxxim.. need you to get YVR priority boarding clearance for a noon tee-off..;) usd/chf bulls looking for higher atitudes must keep those big bad bears away from 1.3630 with a '30 pip-pole'..

van Gecko 02:38 GMT February 11, 2003
ny ultimate euro bear.. those $bear ".. master throwing in the towel .." could become an exdous of master BOBs (Bail-out On Blips) should that desert Fox choose to imitate & do the pre-Valentine Kanagroo Hop over to Serbia.. :)
btw.. you had been in 'hibernation' with mama bear for the past 8 weeks..?
;
maxxim..;) where? Pebble Beach ?

van Gecko 01:22 GMT February 11, 2003
LA 2k.. even though the r/r is good as per my 00:54 (for a 1.09/1.07 range play ?) .. but its against my euro_religion trading preferences to go long before 1.05/03/02's are printed.. :)

van Gecko 01:09 GMT February 11, 2003
la 2k 00:55.. intraday buying & selling for '20/30 pips' is almost a sure bet to get chop_choped & h'i$$ away ones play capital over time.. however, buying at these 'depressed' levels could yield a '2k pips' risk to reward if euro was to turn up from here & spike up to the much talked about 1.23's ..:)

van Gecko 00:54 GMT February 11, 2003
LA.. you don't need to 'trust' eur/usd techs here.. just play the great r/r odds the market had presented to you on a slightly tarnished sliver plate at these levels.. this is one of the rare occasions where pip-pickers & pip-marchers could bet on a good objective payout while risking a tight '20 pip stops'..

van Gecko 00:22 GMT February 11, 2003
ny 00:04 cable sub 1.60 would accelerate the annual 'January Drop' (may had been delayed by a month to a "February Flop' with all these funny geopolitics).. a weekly closing at/near/below 1.5850 could be the trigger for the start of another multi-month few thousand pip reverse backflip dive by her Highness..
web 00:14 & e_utopians.. watch the eur/gbp guide-dogs's .6560/70 support band for eur/usd retracement clues..
Cheerios..


van Gecko 00:00 GMT February 11, 2003
ny ultimate euro bear, yep, the great Canadaian Geese seems to be setting up for 'a thousand mile' northward return flight back to mother Gooseland.. sorry to had mistaken you as that other ny..

van Gecko 23:39 GMT February 10, 2003
yo! ny..:))
the ultimate euro bull turn into the ultimate euro bear ?

van Gecko 23:35 GMT February 10, 2003
market dynamics so far suggests $bears are jumping of that overcrowded geopolitic/momentum bandwagon in droves & bailing out on every blips..
eur/gbp .6560/70 must hold inorder to avoid a straight dive down to the 1.05's from here..


van Gecko 17:53 GMT February 10, 2003
beijing.. why should "..the max usd/jpy we could see by the end of March is 122.50-123" ?
123 is a 'nothing' level.. why the market must stop 2 yens shy of the recent mutli-month 125 range high if it get up to 123 from here ?

van Gecko 17:29 GMT February 10, 2003
morning maxxim.. may be that desert Fox had consulted his personal Feng-shui masters & is cashing in some of his long euros before they are h'i$$ed away like the clouds up here in foggy Lotusland..

van Gecko 17:12 GMT February 10, 2003
euro following through on this 3 week Inverse Reversal pattern from the 1.0935 peak with more euro bulls profit taking.. however this 2 week 1.0730/00 range low flatline should get support from 'dive hard' bulls for more chop chop rangy side to down consolidation before the expected multi-figure corrective/trend reversal dives..
Cheerios..


van Gecko 19:09 GMT February 7, 2003
Comex Gold tanked $20.. painting a long & wicked weekly Gravestone candle.. warmongers r.i.p.. ?
islander, Tampa Lil, & all my friends.. have a nice & peaceful w/e.. :0)



van Gecko 18:28 GMT February 7, 2003
morning maxxim 18:22..
"van Gecko 14:18 .. 1st touch of a rising 21dma is almost a sure bet pip grab for trend following bulls.. "
some Asian players are vely religious ma & ma cross over directional players.. sometimes 'easy pips' can be had by patiently & religiously following some simple rules..
taking a break from mogul bumping this w/e.. trying to get rid of the sun blasted 'raccon-eyes' now.. @_@

van Gecko 18:08 GMT February 7, 2003
morning islander.. here we are, 1st happy Friday in Februrary.. a week to a 'Happy Valentine date' with that desert Fox.. another terrorist alert.. eur/gbp near recent highs.. dow under seige.. and euro can't even crack 1.0850..
what does that tell us about the funny geopoltic/momentum euro mover's positions.. ?
:)



van Gecko 15:25 GMT February 7, 2003
los angeles dat.. during the 2 month funny geopoltic run-up to 1.09 euro dips were well supported above the 21dma.. but since the start of Feb we had seen classic 'end of the line' multiple tests of the 21ma..
these 'end of the end' price patterns are especially pronounced in AUD/USD, a leading directional indicator for the greenbuck..
imo these are very attractive r/r s/m/t dollar corrective levels for positional players..

van Gecko 14:18 GMT February 7, 2003
los angeles.. 1st touch of a rising 21dma is almost a sure bet pip grab for trend following bulls.. that being said, with euro on the verge of painting a 3 week Inverse Reversal pattern, a close below 1.0880 will carry the side to down consolidation/corrective bias from here onto next week(s)..
Cheerios..


van Gecko 19:10 GMT February 5, 2003
ny.. Aud/Usd confirming & following through on a 1/2 session corrective Sell Fractal.. failure to take-out .5930 may be troublesome to the Kangaroo's near term aspiration for a hop up to the .6000's..
immediate target is the low .58's again.. below, opens a flood gate down to .5700..

van Gecko 17:00 GMT February 5, 2003
us equities on verge of completing a 2 week '3 River Bottom' consolidation.. Dow's immediate upside target is up at lucky 8888..

van Gecko 13:26 GMT February 5, 2003
morning.. Chicago bulls scooping up some devaulated dollar ahead of PPP (Powell's Power Presentation..)

van Gecko 05:13 GMT February 5, 2003
howdy Perth S ( :>) 02:57.. sorry for the late reply, my system projects a 'normal' monthly range around 1.12/1.01 on the wide & 1.10/1.04 on the narrow.. but imo these are not 'normal' market times, if we have an esculation of the present funny geopolitical risks, we could see a quick spike up to the 1.10's ..
on the other hand, if some market movers come to their 'senses' euro could see an orderly 5 to 8 figure correction from the 1.10's before a m/t run up to the 1.23's.. perhaps e_utopians could look back in the future & gloat that the dollar was demoted to a '3rd world' currency status in the lunar year of the Goat.. ?
gl..
maxxim.. nice 'wysiwyg' pip grabs lately.. must be the sexy sun & snow up here in Lotusland..;)



van Gecko 02:29 GMT February 5, 2003
yvr maxxim.. greetings & Kung Hay Fat Choi to all..
odds are this new year 'KangoGoose' race to heaven between usd/cad & aud/usd's is about to end.. the aussi Kangaroo is the winner by default having hopped over the .5800 line & make a new high up at the .5930's while the poor cad Goose is still languishing slowly above the multi-year 1.5100/5050 support band..
but after a vigorous month long multi-figure run up.. i expect both pairs to consolidate with a bias for retracements before pushing further up or down.. having won the race, the aud Kangaroo is also the 1st to exhibited end of race exhaustive signs with this 2 week half-moon .58/.5900 consolidation/mini hops ..
however, both pair at these levels offers good risk/reward for contra/swing trading purposes..
FWIW.. (Fun Wonderful Intelligent Woman ? :)