Gecko Global Analytics

Pecs Andras 15:32 GMT November 30, 2004
Something big is being cooked in the market, I guess. USD/CAD and EUR/USD are both close to session highs, which is unusual, to say the least.
If CAD remains to be a good guide dog, we are soon in for a nice EUR dive

London. 15:08 GMT November 30, 2004
Overvalued AUD and CAD performed strongly recently AUD has appreciated more sharply on a trade-weighted basis, As a result AUD is expensive relative to CAD difficult to justify given Canada's superior macroeconomic fundamentals which include a sizable current account surplus. Both (AUD) and CAD look susceptible to a pullback BCA Research report.

slv sam 15:04 GMT November 30, 2004
weak cad yesterday and today can be a worrying observation for those who are us$ bearish!GT


van Gecko 14:55 GMT November 30, 2004
viktor 14:20.. may be those Men in Black want to collect a few more singers before turning off the stage lights.. or they may want to start December off with a bang, or before Sydney open its 1st December trading week..

"15:43 GMT November 28, 2004
.... with last week's Dollar spike & close down at the extremes of another multi-year low set-up, just think what would happen if those Men in Black were to flood the market with Dollar bids 5 minutes before Sydney open its trading week.."


van Gecko 14:21 GMT November 30, 2004
Atl TJ 14:06..G.day.. usd/cad holding firm while the euro bulls wants to try for the moon.. meanwhile, eur/cad is exhibiting northbound tendencies after flying south with the Goose for the last 6 months.. so should euro goes into a side, down, or dive correction, the Goose should fly..
gl..
gold coast martin..;) cheers

prague viktor 14:20 GMT November 30, 2004
Gecko..thanks a very nice song...but for how long they will sing this song.. there must a pull back maybe not now but from 1,34+++...G/T

gold coast martin 14:12 GMT November 30, 2004
van Gecko 14:03 GMT November 30, 2004
The national anthem for the dollar bears will be the shortest in history....soon to be replaced with bull anthem of "..you aint seen nothing yet.....".and one of the verses says ''..heres something you will never forget...".....bears soon to turn to teddys.....after 13334 level is reached,,,,,,g/t

Atl TJ 14:06 GMT November 30, 2004
van Gecko 13:14 GMT November 30, 2004
the Goose wants to break loose.. Usd/Cad is now a buy for long distance flyers..

Gecko, what am I missing here. I show that the goose has another 150 or so pips just to reach the upper channel line. 3 weeks ago I was thinking dollar correction and couldn't be more wrong. Why now? I am only questioning your statement so that I might learn something here. Not trying to be a jerk.

van Gecko 14:03 GMT November 30, 2004
G.day viktor.. how about those happy Dollar Bears now have a new Anthem to sing.. "American Bye"..
pls see fx Jim Mclean down at 08:50 GMT..:)

prague viktor 13:48 GMT November 30, 2004
van Gecko ..G.day mate! can u give me only 1 reason not to long the USD at this time I cant find....G/L G/T

Ldn 13:37 GMT November 30, 2004
van Gecko great. thanks

van Gecko 13:31 GMT November 30, 2004
Ldn.. lets try the 1.2570's 1st.. looks like Parity for the great Canada geese will have to wait a bit longer now..

Ldn 13:21 GMT November 30, 2004
van Gecko whats your target on the CAD cheers


van Gecko 13:14 GMT November 30, 2004
the Goose wants to break loose.. Usd/Cad is now a buy for long distance flyers..


Bruxville Jim 08:50 GMT November 30, 2004
Anthem of Dollar Bears;)

"American Bye"

A long, long time ago…
I can still remember
How the dollar used to make me smile.
And I knew if I had my chance
I’d sell the currency of France
And, maybe, I’d be happy for awhile.

[..]

I started singin’
Bye-bye, dollar assets good-bye
Sold my Chevy at the levee
‘cause my pension ran dry.
Them good old boys were drinkin’ sake to try
Singin’ this’ll be the day that it died
This’ll be the day that it died.


van Gecko 01:52 GMT November 30, 2004
Sydney.. yep.. great time for BOJ sans & their Men in Black croonies to come in here to give the market a nudge..

Sydney 01:48 GMT November 30, 2004
van Gecko 01:45 I think they are , we seem ripe for a correction and fx what with Korea China Japan lined up to take on the specs along with anyone else in their army. 'The Art of War at its best'

van Gecko 01:45 GMT November 30, 2004
Sydney.. they must be watching the 450 level like a hawk.. taking out the level 1 stops below 449 could be the trigger for a Gold medal size dive..

Sydney 01:22 GMT November 30, 2004
Van Gecko , this bloke agrees with you also

Speculators behind gold push, fundamentals don't warrant rally. Gold's "heavily overextended so I think we're in for some serious consolidation if not a correction soon," says 'The Grandich Letter's' Peter Grandich


van Gecko 01:19 GMT November 30, 2004
Gold has a tendency to fall suddenly & viciously from great heights.. liquidity had taken a nose dive in the recent days after climbing $85 in 6 months & 35 bucks in 4 weeks up to the recent multi-year high.. a near term liquidation correction down to the $430's is now in the cards.. (who wants to be the last big sucker to buy Gold up here at $455 and watch it dive 30 big bucks shortly after?)
needless to say, the Majors which had followed Gold like Pavlov's dogs up to the recent heights will follow it back down..
a break below $430/420 could trigger a major panic liquidation which would tilt the odds for a multi-month correction for the Dollar, and support the theory that the Dollar/Gold is at/near a m/t inflection point..


Sydney 00:43 GMT November 30, 2004
Aussie could fall quite sharply we get a burst of strength in the USD think we need expertise Gecko and Igrok Athens and BC for that just hearing CNBC Ben Pedley analyst from Singapore saying Bond market are pricing in a cut in rates.