Gecko Global Analytics

van Gecko 02:08 GMT December 2, 2004

"To achieve an advance that cannot be hampered, rush to his weak points.
To achieve a withdrawal that cannot be pursued, depart with superior speed."
Sun Tzu: The Art Of War

timing & well planned tactical strategies are important elements in any successful warfare.. one would think after running up the Euro 13 big figures those savvy Dollar Bear Brigade might start to think about lock in their profits here then to continue to press the inflection limits & the will of those Men in Black for another 7 figures up to 1.40..
it would certainly make sense & much easier for the Brigade with their collective power to move the Euro back down 10 figures from here & double their profits much faster..
valdez amigo.. cheers..


quito_ecuador_valdez 01:51 GMT December 2, 2004
I think, Gecko, people are naive to the fact that the world's economy is rather tightly controlled albeit from the shadows. FX is just one of the factors in the control room but FX is most definitely not just left to the whim of the market..it is on a very very top level game board.

London. 01:31 GMT December 2, 2004
van Gecko incredible but true

quito_ecuador_valdez 01:26 GMT December 2, 2004
Van Gecko// When I say what you posted below I get hades from surface feeders who can't find their afterburner with both hands. Glad you persist in disseminating the truth, maybe they'll listen to you. As to your inference to elephant players..they're as big or bigger than the CBs. Agreed, we only gather up the crumbs.


van Gecko 01:19 GMT December 2, 2004
Contrary to popular misconception that "the forex market is too big to be manipulated".. all market moves are initiated & sustained by elephant syndicates..This is a game play by elephants where the market ranges, break-outs, & trends reflect the strength & weakness of the opposing camps at any given time.. Central Banks act as the supervisor & guardian angels of this game.. and whenever the game gets out of hand with one side getting too aggressive on certain boundaries, they step in to restore order..
while the rest of us who are in the dark as to the game plan & latest intentions of these players can only try following the trails of the elephants or try to decipher & play from the various inflection levels.. the sad truth is that 95% of the market participants usually get trampled by either being blinded to the move or jumping on-board at/near the end..

Oakland daimyo 15:45 & gold coast martin 16:29 got it right..


Miami OMIL (/;-> 23:20 GMT December 1, 2004
The eur/usd pair is creating a bullish ascending triangle in the 4hr chart and looks ready to explode again to the top side if a break and close of the 3350 resistance were to happen that would expose the 3400 resistance to the bulls with the main objective still in the 3500-30 area. Traders still seem to be jockeying for position for the NFP (AKA bloody Friday if that meant something anymore). Here are the latest numbers for the eur/usd pair.


van Gecko 22:28 GMT December 1, 2004
"08:13 GMT October 15, 2004

"This is the end, Beautiful friend
This is the end, My only friend, the end
Of our elaborate plans, the end.."

getting close again friends...
enjoy "American bye" while it last..


melbourne farmacia 22:27 GMT December 1, 2004
KL - morning... nice gbp run overnight... I still don't have a sell signal as yet. Maybe 1.9430 ish first. GT

Geneva 20:03 GMT December 1, 2004
As longer it will take, as harder it will fall.
Getting closer and closer to the end, and the carpet is full of bull euros. the same peoples that sold the euro at 0.85 buying over 1.30. I am glad to see that next year will be the year of the DOLLAR. Happy trading all.

Athens 17:16 GMT December 1, 2004
CME, yes, I haven't changed my view. Besides, my "buy $/CHF on dips" morning call hasn't let me down.

Chicago CME 17:11 GMT December 1, 2004
Athens: even with cable up here does your gut still tell you that currencies may break this week?

gold coast martin 16:41 GMT December 1, 2004
GENEVA FHR 16:37 GMT December 1, 2004
I dont blame them at all.,...i just take their money ...win win for me.....good trades and please post more often....your posts are highly valued...g/t

gold coast martin 16:38 GMT December 1, 2004
The rest of this little club are a prominent branch....i dont think i would be parking my retirement fund with any of these guys.....still they pay plenty for forex advice!!!!,,,lol

GENEVA FHR 16:37 GMT December 1, 2004
martin the forex market is to big to be manupilated the way you describe nothing to do with the oil market.there too many participants and dont blame hedge funds they provide huge liquidity and you would not have the spread you have these days.In the old days when banks the main liquidity provider the usual spreads where 10 pips and when real moves where coming 50to100pips where normal.

Helsinki iw 16:35 GMT December 1, 2004
I´ll take your word martin, I don´t know better. But investors do get scary these days about manager style drift, so it doesn´t necessarily pay in the longer run.

gold coast martin 16:29 GMT December 1, 2004
When you have no performance in your other ventures and you are looking to square your books, what is the easiest and quickest way to do it....form a joint venture with other funders and place a sure bet on the forex and futures market....i posted this info about joint venture of funds into oil a while ago on GVI....i wouldnt post if i didnt know...made good money out of last oil venture.....g/t

gold coast martin 16:12 GMT December 1, 2004
There are a number of funds that will exit between 16-19 of december due to their trading perimeter constraints....large volumes....these were funds that were involved in oil a while ago and were first ones to initially exit causing 4 big figure drop .....one of them will be highbridge capital....i dont mind naming them...they had a good run at the expense of smaller traders...manipulating the market long enough....g/t

Oakland daimyo 15:45 GMT December 1, 2004
CTA's and Hedge Funds had a tough year. They're not in any hurry to stop current trends before the new year. They're trying to ride this thing as long as possible. Many need to makeup the losses they incurred during slow, choppy summer months. "The trend is your friend" takes on a new meaning for these guys/gals. Market shrugging off USD positive news is a major sell signal as mkt participants are viewing current economic data as merely a nuisance. Also, CB's are mostly talk at this point. IMHO

Athens 11:33 GMT December 1, 2004
I haven't changed my view on what I said here last night. Cable had seriously lagged and is doing now what it should have done earlier. I have a projected resistance levels 1.9235 which is still holding but at risk at the moment and stronger 1.9305-10. The Pound also picked up steam after triggering model breaks on my techs on all its crosses yesteday. Keep in mind that GBP/$ is the only pair which rarely changes direction with round tops/bottoms formations. Most often it forms ver sharp V-shaped angled turns. Personally I am npt trading cable at present. USD bears (in the other majors) are also using the cable latest strong rally to keep the USD bears defensive across the board. The action is delaying the turn but it can't stop it as far as I can tell. It's a time game now and nothing else in my opinion. Keep selling AUD/$ spikes and buying $/CHF and $/CAD dips. Good luck.

Oakland daimyo 11:30 GMT December 1, 2004
van Gecko 10:47 GMT December 1, 2004
melbourne farmacia 11:19 GMT December 1, 2004
Learning to keep my big mouth shut since I trade much better when I don't post, however I thought the info might be of use to someone other than me. If you want to discuss markets, please email Jay for my email address. I will not be in this forum much. GT


van Gecko 10:47 GMT December 1, 2004
London 09:55.. its just normal market psychology at play.. you'll get the usual share of later comers to bottom/top feed the markets at/near any turning points ..

Oakland daimyo.. good luck with your work & studies.. cheers

Oakland daimyo 10:33 GMT December 1, 2004
Hello everyone. Have not been posting as FX and grad school have been keeping me very busy. Respect due to farmacia and Van Gecko. I've been following clever accumulation on the part of the "composite operator".

It looks like the elephants have changed watering holes with Cable being the new favorite. Supply/ demand relationship favors buyers. Enough cause has been built up to effect the next upside 25 x 3 P&F target of 1.9350. Of course, nothing moves in a straight line so pullbacks are possible. However, I suggest maintaining buy on dip strats. 1.9141 this years high will become next years low IMHO GT to all

Ldn 10:15 GMT December 1, 2004
Disappointing data from both Japan and euro zone help to encourage more profit-taking in both EUR and JPY against USD. reuters

London 09:55 GMT December 1, 2004
what's going on with the $/can????

van Gecko 09:30 GMT December 1, 2004
viktor 09:15 good day.. thanks.. some p/t are taking place here.. looks like some front runners wants to beat the rush.. look at gbp/chf fly!
gl..

prague viktor 09:15 GMT December 1, 2004
van Gecko 14:55 GMT November 30, 2004...
G.day mate!..thanks for ur post..we are livinig now with Mr green syndrom..so we must wait...for another few days I think mate the 1,33-1,34 its the end for this move..and Im looking too like u for a sharp pull back..G/T G/L

London. 09:14 GMT December 1, 2004
van Gecko cheers

van Gecko 09:08 GMT December 1, 2004
London.. please watch Gold's reaction @ 445 for clue.. that said theres a good cross & inter-market bias setting up for the Conti twins..
farmacia.. thanks

melbourne farmacia 09:02 GMT December 1, 2004
van Gecko - 1.9194 projected daily high.
1.9234 overshoot selling spike if seen IMO

Kamensk Andy 08:57 GMT December 1, 2004
melbourne farmacia 08:39 - Take my congratulations! Was not so lucky in this run...What do you expect till the end of year now?

van Gecko 08:54 GMT December 1, 2004
good afternoon sp..
melbourne farmacia 08:39 well done.. 1.92 sustainable?

London. 08:50 GMT December 1, 2004
Van Gecko your also see that ?

London. 08:49 GMT December 1, 2004
Chris Locke Oyster Catcher Management says we could be seeing a multi year top around here. CNBC

melbourne farmacia 08:39 GMT December 1, 2004
KL - covered all for 13 figures....

van Gecko 08:27 GMT December 1, 2004
the little dollar setting up for a 2 figure blast to start the month..